Policy Brief: Medium- and Long-Term Outlook for Low-Carbon Transition in Shanxi—Developing a “Dual Carbon” Pathway Using EPS Modeling

This policy brief was co-authored by the Shanxi Coshare Innovation Institute of Energy & Environment and iGDP. It reviews the progress of Shanxi's low-carbon transformation and, using the Shanxi EPS model and scenario analysis methods, further forecasts the long-term trends of energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions in Shanxi. It identifies key areas requiring attention, key targets, and priority reduction measures under the dual-carbon scenario. At the same time, the report assesses the scale of investment required to implement these policies and their potential impact on GDP and employment. Based on these analyses, the report provides policy recommendations for Shanxi's low-carbon transformation.